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Latest EURO Seasonal Model November - April Precipitation Forecast

The model continues to show La Niña going away later this winter and spring. That essentially allows for more variability in the pattern as we move into late winter and spring. While we have a way to go to completely put the extreme risk of drought to rest, I continue to like what I am seeing regarding the trends. Some other notable things...  Winter in the Northern Plains and for much of the Pacific Northwest and Northern Rockies looks pretty rough. With high pressure over the Gulf of Alaska, it paves the way for several cold shots of air for parts of the Plains and eastward.

The coldest of that air likely for the Northern Rockies, Northern Plains, eastward into the Great Lakes. Farther south, sustained cold will be tough to maintain... Also...once the La Niña fades, it is possible we see some sort of a subtropical jet stream develop, which would enhance some moisture chances for the south/southwest part of the country.

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Jess McCartney
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