Wanted to update you on the next couple of weeks...
Forecast Rain Anomalies Through July 3rd
The other bit of info, which will be updated tomorrow, deals with the monsoon over the SW US. I have made no mistake in saying that I thought the monsoon would be weaker this year, than in years past. So, the maps below are the 30 day forecast rain anomalies now through July 15th, and July 1st through July 31st.
The message from the model regarding the monsoon, is that it will likely underperform. However, the driest part of the time will likely be from now through mid July, before "better" rain occurs. And a disclaimer...the model initialized dry, so it will likely have a dry flavor. I will update you on it tomorrow, but wanted to give you a baseline from the previous week.
Temperature forecast is pretty straight forward. The areas that are the driest will remain the warmest. But, a good chunk of the western US will likely remain below average during the next 10 days.
Forecast Temperature Anomalies Through July 29th
If you have questions, please let me know.
Brian
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